{"id":163536,"date":"2026-03-01T11:30:15","date_gmt":"2026-03-01T11:30:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/evtizedek-ota-nem-latott-krizist-hozhat-az-olajpiacon-az-iran-elleni-haboru\/friss-hirek\/"},"modified":"2026-03-01T11:30:15","modified_gmt":"2026-03-01T11:30:15","slug":"evtizedek-ota-nem-latott-krizist-hozhat-az-olajpiacon-az-iran-elleni-haboru","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/evtizedek-ota-nem-latott-krizist-hozhat-az-olajpiacon-az-iran-elleni-haboru\/uzlet\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c9vtizedek \u00f3ta nem l\u00e1tott kr\u00edzist hozhat az olajpiacon az Ir\u00e1n elleni h\u00e1bor\u00fa"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>A K\u00f6zel-Kelet a vil\u00e1g olajk\u00edn\u00e1lat\u00e1nak mintegy 20 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k\u00e1t adja, \u00edgy m\u00e1r puszt\u00e1n a konfliktus t\u00e9nye is komoly \u00e1remelked\u00e9st v\u00e1lthat ki.<\/strong><\/p><div id=\"friss-125674654\" class=\"friss-etarget friss-entity-placement\"><script type=\"text\/javascript\" id=\"etargetScript7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b\">function etargetPostloadFunction7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b(){var e=\"etargetPostload7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b\",t=\"etargetScript7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b\",o=document.getElementById(e);if(o){for(var n=o.offsetTop,d=o.offsetLeft,r=o.offsetWidth,a=o.offsetHeight;o.offsetParent;)o=o.offsetParent,n+=o.offsetTop,d+=o.offsetLeft;var i=(n<=window.pageYOffset+window.innerHeight&&d<window.pageXOffset+window.innerWidth&&n+a>window.pageYOffset&&d+r>window.pageXOffset);if(i&&etargetAllowOtherCheck){allowed=!1;var c=document.createElement(\"script\");return c.src=\"\/\/hu.search.etargetnet.com\/generic\/uni.php?g=ref:58661,area:700x210\",void(document.getElementById(t)&&document.getElementById(e)&&(document.getElementById(t).parentNode.appendChild(c),document.getElementById(t).parentNode.removeChild(document.getElementById(t)),document.getElementById(e).parentNode.removeChild(document.getElementById(e)),document.removeEventListener(\"scroll\",etargetPostloadFunction7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b),document.removeEventListener(\"resize\",etargetPostloadFunction7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b),document.removeEventListener(\"DOMContentLoaded\",etargetPostloadFunction7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b)))}}}var etargetDivID=\"etargetPostload7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b\",etargetScriptID=\"etargetScript7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b\",etargetPostloadPoint=document.createElement(\"div\");etargetPostloadPoint.id=etargetDivID;var etargetCurScript=document.getElementById(etargetScriptID);etargetCurScript.parentNode.appendChild(etargetPostloadPoint),document.addEventListener(\"scroll\",etargetPostloadFunction7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b),document.addEventListener(\"resize\",etargetPostloadFunction7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b),document.addEventListener(\"DOMContentLoaded\",etargetPostloadFunction7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b);var etargetAllowOtherCheck=!0;if(typeof(\"forceRunPostload\")==\"string\"){etargetPostloadFunction7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b()}<\/script><\/div>\n<p>Az Egyes\u00fclt \u00c1llamok \u00e9s Izrael k\u00f6z\u00f6s ir\u00e1ni csap\u00e1sai, valamint Teher\u00e1n v\u00e1laszl\u00e9p\u00e9sei s\u00falyos bizonytalans\u00e1got okoznak a glob\u00e1lis energia\u00adpiacon. Ir\u00e1n hivatalosan is meger\u0151s\u00edtette, hogy a legf\u0151bb vall\u00e1si vezet\u0151, <a href=\"https:\/\/forbes.hu\/hirek\/hamenei-halal-usa-izrael\/\">Ali Hamenei meghalt<\/a> az amerikai-izraeli t\u00e1mad\u00e1sokban, k\u00f6zben Trump \u00e9s az izraeli vezet\u00e9s is azt hangs\u00falyozta, hogy nem \u00e1llnak le a csap\u00e1sokkal.<\/p>\n<p>Ir\u00e1n v\u00e1laszul Dubaj, Katar \u00e9s Izrael ir\u00e1ny\u00e1ba is ind\u00edtott ballisztikus rak\u00e9t\u00e1kat, robban\u00e1sokat jelentettek az Egyes\u00fclt Arab Em\u00edrs\u00e9gekben \u00e9s Kuvaitban. Egyel\u0151re nincs meger\u0151s\u00edtett tal\u00e1lat olaj- vagy g\u00e1zinfrastrukt\u00far\u00e1n.<\/p>\n<div class=\"related-post-links\">\n<p>\t\t<span class=\"related-post-links__title minititle\">T\u00f6bb ebb\u0151l<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"related-post-links__link-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/forbes.hu\/penz\/olajar-iran-haboru-hormuzi\/\" class=\"related-post-links__link\">\u00c9vtizedek \u00f3ta nem l\u00e1tott kr\u00edzist hozhat az olajpiacon az Ir\u00e1n elleni h\u00e1bor\u00fa<\/a>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n<div class=\"related-post-links__link-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/forbes.hu\/penz\/el-mencho-vagyon-drogkartell-usa\/\" class=\"related-post-links__link\">Ez a drogb\u00e1r\u00f3k paradoxona: 50 milli\u00e1rd doll\u00e1r komoly k\u00eds\u00e9rt\u00e9s, mi lesz most Mexik\u00f3 legnagyobb drogb\u00e1r\u00f3j\u00e1nak vagyon\u00e1val?<\/a>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Mi t\u00f6rt\u00e9nik a Hormuzi-szorosban? <\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>A vil\u00e1g olajpiaca sz\u00e1m\u00e1ra a Hormuzi-szoros egy fontos sz\u00e1ll\u00edt\u00e1si \u00fatvonal, napi k\u00f6zel 20 milli\u00f3 hord\u00f3 olaj halad \u00e1t rajta, ez a vil\u00e1gtermel\u00e9s \u00f6t\u00f6de, a tengeren sz\u00e1ll\u00edtott olajmennyis\u00e9gnek pedig a harmada. Az ir\u00e1ni Forradalmi G\u00e1rda VHF-r\u00e1di\u00f3n azt k\u00f6z\u00f6lte a haj\u00f3kkal, hogy \u201eegyik haj\u00f3 sem haladhat \u00e1t a Hormuzi-szoroson\u201d. Ez\u00e9rt sz\u00e1mos olaj- \u00e9s LNG-sz\u00e1ll\u00edtm\u00e1nyt tengeri c\u00e9gek \u00e9s keresked\u0151k felf\u00fcggesztettek, \u00e9s haj\u00f3k visszafordultak vagy v\u00e1rakoznak a t\u00e9rs\u00e9gben. Elvileg a felsz\u00f3l\u00edt\u00e1s jogilag nem \u00e9rtelmezhet\u0151 lez\u00e1r\u00e1sk\u00e9nt, ugyanakkor a biztons\u00e1gi kock\u00e1zatok miatt a forgalom gyakorlatilag le\u00e1llt a szorosban, a tranzitforgalom legal\u00e1bb is dr\u00e1maian visszaesett. <\/p>\n<p>A Hormuzi-szorost m\u00e9g soha nem z\u00e1rt\u00e1k le teljesen, de az 1980-as \u00e9vek ir\u00e1ni\u2013iraki h\u00e1bor\u00faj\u00e1ban \u00e9s k\u00e9s\u0151bb is voltak tanker elleni t\u00e1mad\u00e1sok. M\u00e1r r\u00f6vid ideig tart\u00f3 akci\u00f3k is jelent\u0151s piaci sokkot okozhatnak.<\/p>\n<p>A Reuters energetikai szak\u00fajs\u00e1g\u00edr\u00f3ja, Ron Bousso <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/markets\/commodities\/iran-war-throws-oil-market-into-biggest-crisis-decades-2026-02-28\/\">szerint<\/a> m\u00e1r a kock\u00e1zatok emelked\u00e9se is el\u00e9g ahhoz, hogy az \u00e1rak dr\u00e1maian megl\u00f3duljanak. A politikai fesz\u00fclts\u00e9g n\u00f6veked\u00e9s\u00e9vel a Hormuzi-szorosban a tankerfuvard\u00edjak az \u00e9v eleje \u00f3ta t\u00f6bb mint megh\u00e1romszoroz\u00f3dtak. Ha a konfliktus elh\u00faz\u00f3dik vagy a szoros forgalma ak\u00e1r r\u00f6vid id\u0151re is akad\u00e1lyozott\u00e1 v\u00e1lik, az azonnali \u00e1rrobban\u00e1st okozhat az olajpiacon. <\/p>\n<p>A Barclays elemz\u0151i <a href=\"https:\/\/www.marketscreener.com\/news\/barclays-says-brent-crude-oil-could-reach-100-a-barrel-after-us-and-israel-strike-iran-ce7e5cdcd98dff2c?utm_source=chatgpt.com\">szerint<\/a> a mostani 73 doll\u00e1ros \u00e1rszintr\u0151l eg\u00e9szen 100 doll\u00e1rig emelkedhet a Brent-t\u00edpus\u00fa k\u0151olaj hord\u00f3nk\u00e9nti \u00e1ra (a kor\u00e1bbi c\u00e9l\u00e1ruk 80 doll\u00e1r volt a konfliktus kit\u00f6r\u00e9se el\u0151tt). Hasonl\u00f3an l\u00e1tja a helyzetet az RBC Capital, a Rystad Energy szerint ha nem csitul a helyzet hamar, akkor 90 doll\u00e1rig mehet az olaj\u00e1r, az Eurasia Group ugyanakkor maximum 10 doll\u00e1ros dr\u00e1gul\u00e1ssal sz\u00e1mol egyel\u0151re. Az \u00e9vet m\u00e9g 63-65 doll\u00e1ros szintr\u0151l ind\u00edtotta a piac, vagyis folyamatosan \u00e9p\u00fclt be az \u00e1raz\u00e1sba a kock\u00e1zati pr\u00e9mium. <\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Van-e puffer a rendszerben?<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Az elm\u00falt \u00e9vekben n\u0151tt az amerikai, brazil \u00e9s kanadai termel\u00e9s. Sza\u00fad-Ar\u00e1bia n\u00f6velte exportj\u00e1t (febru\u00e1rban napi 7 milli\u00f3 hord\u00f3 f\u00f6l\u00e9). Az OPEC+ v\u00e1rhat\u00f3an kitermel\u00e9s-n\u00f6vel\u00e9sr\u0151l d\u00f6nt, b\u00e1r a tagorsz\u00e1gok m\u00e1r a konfliktus kit\u00f6r\u00e9se el\u0151tt is cs\u00facsra j\u00e1ratt\u00e1k a kapacit\u00e1saikat.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>Ha a K\u00f6zel-Kelet export\u00fatvonalai s\u00e9r\u00fclnek, ezek a plusz mennyis\u00e9gek nem biztos, hogy elegend\u0151k lesznek a kies\u00e9s p\u00f3tl\u00e1s\u00e1ra.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Kulcsk\u00e9rd\u00e9s teh\u00e1t, Ir\u00e1n mennyire eszkal\u00e1lja a konfliktust (illetve hogy mennyire maradt k\u00e9pess\u00e9ge erre). Ha energetikai infrastrukt\u00far\u00e1t vagy exporttermin\u00e1lokat \u00e9rnek t\u00e1mad\u00e1sok, az glob\u00e1lis ell\u00e1t\u00e1si v\u00e1ls\u00e1got id\u00e9zhet el\u0151. A Barclays kor\u00e1bban \u00fagy sz\u00e1molt, 1 milli\u00f3 hord\u00f3s napi kies\u00e9s el\u00e9g lehet a piac ell\u00e1t\u00e1si egyens\u00faly\u00e1nak felborul\u00e1s\u00e1hoz. <\/p>\n<p>A Reuters \u00e9rt\u00e9kel\u00e9se szerint <\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>m\u00e9g a legrosszabb forgat\u00f3k\u00f6nyv n\u00e9lk\u00fcl is olyan m\u00e9rt\u00e9k\u0171 bizonytalans\u00e1g alakult ki, amely \u00e9vtizedek \u00f3ta nem l\u00e1tott m\u00f3don r\u00e1zza meg az olajpiacot.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>A h\u00e9tf\u0151i piacnyit\u00e1skor a geopolitikai fesz\u00fclts\u00e9gek miatt az olaj\u00e1r \u00e9s az arany emelked\u00e9se v\u00e1rhat\u00f3, de \u00e9rdemes lesz a felt\u00f6rekv\u0151piaci deviz\u00e1kat, \u00edgy a forintot is figyelni, a kock\u00e1zatminimaliz\u00e1l\u00e1s miatt innen elfordulhatnak a befektet\u0151k. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/markets\/commodities\/iran-war-throws-oil-market-into-biggest-crisis-decades-2026-02-28\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><!-- No email blocks found --><\/p>\n<p>The post <a href=\"https:\/\/forbes.hu\/penz\/olajar-iran-haboru-hormuzi\/\">\u00c9vtizedek \u00f3ta nem l\u00e1tott kr\u00edzist hozhat az olajpiacon az Ir\u00e1n elleni h\u00e1bor\u00fa<\/a> appeared first on <a href=\"https:\/\/forbes.hu\/\">Forbes.hu<\/a>.<\/p><div id=\"friss-3767750170\" class=\"friss-etarget-cikk-vege friss-entity-placement\"><script type=\"text\/javascript\" id=\"etargetScript7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b\">function etargetPostloadFunction7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b(){var e=\"etargetPostload7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b\",t=\"etargetScript7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b\",o=document.getElementById(e);if(o){for(var 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id=\"friss-488973500\" class=\"friss-after-content_3 friss-entity-placement\">https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=Pdnw4KiUWp0<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A K\u00f6zel-Kelet a vil\u00e1g olajk\u00edn\u00e1lat\u00e1nak mintegy 20 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k\u00e1t adja, \u00edgy m\u00e1r puszt\u00e1n a konfliktus t\u00e9nye is komoly \u00e1remelked\u00e9st v\u00e1lthat ki. Az Egyes\u00fclt \u00c1llamok \u00e9s Izrael k\u00f6z\u00f6s ir\u00e1ni csap\u00e1sai, valamint Teher\u00e1n v\u00e1laszl\u00e9p\u00e9sei s\u00falyos bizonytalans\u00e1got okoznak a glob\u00e1lis energia\u00adpiacon. Ir\u00e1n hivatalosan is meger\u0151s\u00edtette, hogy a legf\u0151bb vall\u00e1si vezet\u0151, Ali Hamenei meghalt az amerikai-izraeli t\u00e1mad\u00e1sokban, k\u00f6zben Trump \u00e9s [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-163536","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uzlet"],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/163536","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=163536"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/163536\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=163536"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=163536"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=163536"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}