{"id":165268,"date":"2026-04-08T19:21:47","date_gmt":"2026-04-08T19:21:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/?p=165268"},"modified":"2026-04-08T19:21:48","modified_gmt":"2026-04-08T19:21:48","slug":"ketharmados-tisza-gyozelmet-jelez-a-median-mandatumbecslese","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/ketharmados-tisza-gyozelmet-jelez-a-median-mandatumbecslese\/friss-hirek\/","title":{"rendered":"K\u00c9THARMADOS TISZA-GY\u0150ZELMET JELEZ A MEDI\u00c1N MAND\u00c1TUMBECSL\u00c9SE"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/median.hu\/2026\/04\/08\/ketharmados-tisza-gyozelmet-jelez-a-median-mandatumbecslese\/\">K\u00c9THARMADOS TISZA-GY\u0150ZELMET JELEZ A MEDI\u00c1N MAND\u00c1TUMBECSL\u00c9SE<\/a><\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/median.hu\/2026\/04\/08\/\"><time><br>\u00e1prilis 8, 2026<\/time><\/a><\/p><div id=\"friss-4033985135\" class=\"friss-etarget friss-entity-placement\"><script type=\"text\/javascript\" id=\"etargetScript7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b\">function etargetPostloadFunction7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b(){var e=\"etargetPostload7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b\",t=\"etargetScript7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b\",o=document.getElementById(e);if(o){for(var n=o.offsetTop,d=o.offsetLeft,r=o.offsetWidth,a=o.offsetHeight;o.offsetParent;)o=o.offsetParent,n+=o.offsetTop,d+=o.offsetLeft;var i=(n<=window.pageYOffset+window.innerHeight&&d<window.pageXOffset+window.innerWidth&&n+a>window.pageYOffset&&d+r>window.pageXOffset);if(i&&etargetAllowOtherCheck){allowed=!1;var c=document.createElement(\"script\");return c.src=\"\/\/hu.search.etargetnet.com\/generic\/uni.php?g=ref:58661,area:700x210\",void(document.getElementById(t)&&document.getElementById(e)&&(document.getElementById(t).parentNode.appendChild(c),document.getElementById(t).parentNode.removeChild(document.getElementById(t)),document.getElementById(e).parentNode.removeChild(document.getElementById(e)),document.removeEventListener(\"scroll\",etargetPostloadFunction7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b),document.removeEventListener(\"resize\",etargetPostloadFunction7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b),document.removeEventListener(\"DOMContentLoaded\",etargetPostloadFunction7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b)))}}}var etargetDivID=\"etargetPostload7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b\",etargetScriptID=\"etargetScript7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b\",etargetPostloadPoint=document.createElement(\"div\");etargetPostloadPoint.id=etargetDivID;var etargetCurScript=document.getElementById(etargetScriptID);etargetCurScript.parentNode.appendChild(etargetPostloadPoint),document.addEventListener(\"scroll\",etargetPostloadFunction7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b),document.addEventListener(\"resize\",etargetPostloadFunction7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b),document.addEventListener(\"DOMContentLoaded\",etargetPostloadFunction7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b);var etargetAllowOtherCheck=!0;if(typeof(\"forceRunPostload\")==\"string\"){etargetPostloadFunction7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b()}<\/script><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Magyar P\u00e9ter\u00e9knek kedvezhetett a kamp\u00e1ny utols\u00f3 heteinek dinamik\u00e1ja, a Medi\u00e1n mand\u00e1tumbecsl\u00e9se szerint ugyanis a Tisza P\u00e1rtnak 138-143 k\u00e9pvisel\u0151je lehet az orsz\u00e1ggy\u0171l\u00e9sben, vagyis sima k\u00e9tharmados t\u00f6bbs\u00e9gre sz\u00e1m\u00edthat.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A legut\u00f3bbi \u00f6t reprezentat\u00edv felm\u00e9r\u00e9se alapj\u00e1n k\u00e9sz\u00edtett mand\u00e1tumsz\u00e1m\u00edt\u00e1st a Medi\u00e1n. A becsl\u00e9s szerint a Tisza 138-143 mand\u00e1tumra sz\u00e1m\u00edthat, ami sima k\u00e9tharmados t\u00f6bbs\u00e9get vet\u00edt el\u0151re, mik\u00f6zben a Fidesz 49-55 k\u00e9pvisel\u0151i helyre sz\u00e1m\u00edthat. A Medi\u00e1n szerint val\u00f3sz\u00edn\u0171leg bejut a parlamentbe a Mi Haz\u00e1nk, amely 5 vagy 6 mand\u00e1tumra es\u00e9lyes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A kor\u00e1bbi \u00f6t reprezentat\u00edv felm\u00e9r\u00e9s adatainak \u00f6sszes\u00edt\u00e9se alapj\u00e1n a Medi\u00e1n azt is megvizsg\u00e1lta, hogy mely t\u00e1rsadalmi csoportokban mekkora a p\u00e1rtok t\u00e1mogatotts\u00e1ga, \u00e9s mik\u00e9nt v\u00e1ltoztak a p\u00e1rpreferenci\u00e1k a 2022-es v\u00e1laszt\u00e1s \u00f3ta. Az err\u0151l sz\u00f3l\u00f3 elemz\u00e9st&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/median.hu\/2026\/04\/08\/mozgo-szavazok-honnan-jottek-hova-mentek\/\">itt olvashatja el.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/hvg.hu\/360\/20260408_median-mandatumbecsles-fidesz-tisza-valasztas-kethamad-kampany\">A mand\u00e1tumbecsl\u00e9s el\u0151sz\u00f6r a HVG-n jelent meg, ide kattintva tudja elolvasni a cikket.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Forr\u00e1s: <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/median.hu\/2026\/04\/08\/ketharmados-tisza-gyozelmet-jelez-a-median-mandatumbecslese\/\">Medi\u00e1n<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8230;<\/p><div id=\"friss-2316568356\" class=\"friss-etarget-cikk-vege friss-entity-placement\"><script type=\"text\/javascript\" id=\"etargetScript7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b\">function etargetPostloadFunction7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b(){var e=\"etargetPostload7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b\",t=\"etargetScript7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b\",o=document.getElementById(e);if(o){for(var 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id=\"friss-619915262\" class=\"friss-after-content_3 friss-entity-placement\">https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=Pdnw4KiUWp0<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>K\u00c9THARMADOS TISZA-GY\u0150ZELMET JELEZ A MEDI\u00c1N MAND\u00c1TUMBECSL\u00c9SE\u00e1prilis 8, 2026 Magyar P\u00e9ter\u00e9knek kedvezhetett a kamp\u00e1ny utols\u00f3 heteinek dinamik\u00e1ja, a Medi\u00e1n mand\u00e1tumbecsl\u00e9se szerint ugyanis a Tisza P\u00e1rtnak 138-143 k\u00e9pvisel\u0151je lehet az orsz\u00e1ggy\u0171l\u00e9sben, vagyis sima k\u00e9tharmados t\u00f6bbs\u00e9gre sz\u00e1m\u00edthat. A legut\u00f3bbi \u00f6t reprezentat\u00edv felm\u00e9r\u00e9se alapj\u00e1n k\u00e9sz\u00edtett mand\u00e1tumsz\u00e1m\u00edt\u00e1st a Medi\u00e1n. A becsl\u00e9s szerint a Tisza 138-143 mand\u00e1tumra sz\u00e1m\u00edthat, ami sima k\u00e9tharmados [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":165269,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-165268","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-friss-hirek"],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/165268","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=165268"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/165268\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":165270,"href":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/165268\/revisions\/165270"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/165269"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=165268"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=165268"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=165268"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}