{"id":165531,"date":"2026-04-15T02:47:28","date_gmt":"2026-04-15T02:47:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/fejtores-magyar-peter-szamara-cel-is-vagy-is-a-magyar-euro-de-a-gazdasag-csak-messzebb-kerult-tole-az-elmult-evekben\/friss-hirek\/"},"modified":"2026-04-15T02:47:28","modified_gmt":"2026-04-15T02:47:28","slug":"fejtores-magyar-peter-szamara-cel-is-vagy-is-a-magyar-euro-de-a-gazdasag-csak-messzebb-kerult-tole-az-elmult-evekben","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/fejtores-magyar-peter-szamara-cel-is-vagy-is-a-magyar-euro-de-a-gazdasag-csak-messzebb-kerult-tole-az-elmult-evekben\/uzlet\/","title":{"rendered":"Fejt\u00f6r\u00e9s Magyar P\u00e9ter sz\u00e1m\u00e1ra: c\u00e9l is, v\u00e1gy is a magyar eur\u00f3, de a gazdas\u00e1g csak messzebb ker\u00fclt t\u0151le az elm\u00falt \u00e9vekben"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>A magyarok t\u00f6bbs\u00e9ge v\u00e1gyik az eur\u00f3 bevezet\u00e9s\u00e9re, de az ehhez sz\u00fcks\u00e9ges krit\u00e9riumokt\u00f3l az elm\u00falt \u00e9vekben csak messzebb ker\u00fclt a magyar gazdas\u00e1g.<\/strong><\/p><div id=\"friss-420038661\" class=\"friss-etarget friss-entity-placement\"><script type=\"text\/javascript\" id=\"etargetScript7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b\">function etargetPostloadFunction7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b(){var e=\"etargetPostload7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b\",t=\"etargetScript7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b\",o=document.getElementById(e);if(o){for(var n=o.offsetTop,d=o.offsetLeft,r=o.offsetWidth,a=o.offsetHeight;o.offsetParent;)o=o.offsetParent,n+=o.offsetTop,d+=o.offsetLeft;var i=(n<=window.pageYOffset+window.innerHeight&&d<window.pageXOffset+window.innerWidth&&n+a>window.pageYOffset&&d+r>window.pageXOffset);if(i&&etargetAllowOtherCheck){allowed=!1;var c=document.createElement(\"script\");return c.src=\"\/\/hu.search.etargetnet.com\/generic\/uni.php?g=ref:58661,area:700x210\",void(document.getElementById(t)&&document.getElementById(e)&&(document.getElementById(t).parentNode.appendChild(c),document.getElementById(t).parentNode.removeChild(document.getElementById(t)),document.getElementById(e).parentNode.removeChild(document.getElementById(e)),document.removeEventListener(\"scroll\",etargetPostloadFunction7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b),document.removeEventListener(\"resize\",etargetPostloadFunction7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b),document.removeEventListener(\"DOMContentLoaded\",etargetPostloadFunction7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b)))}}}var etargetDivID=\"etargetPostload7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b\",etargetScriptID=\"etargetScript7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b\",etargetPostloadPoint=document.createElement(\"div\");etargetPostloadPoint.id=etargetDivID;var etargetCurScript=document.getElementById(etargetScriptID);etargetCurScript.parentNode.appendChild(etargetPostloadPoint),document.addEventListener(\"scroll\",etargetPostloadFunction7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b),document.addEventListener(\"resize\",etargetPostloadFunction7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b),document.addEventListener(\"DOMContentLoaded\",etargetPostloadFunction7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b);var etargetAllowOtherCheck=!0;if(typeof(\"forceRunPostload\")==\"string\"){etargetPostloadFunction7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b()}<\/script><\/div>\n<p><strong>Mi t\u00f6rt\u00e9nt? <\/strong>Ugyan a Tisza P\u00e1rt programj\u00e1nak r\u00e9sz\u00e9t k\u00e9pezi az eur\u00f3 2030-ig val\u00f3 bevezet\u00e9se, \u00e9s a t\u00e1rsadalom t\u00falnyom\u00f3 t\u00f6bbs\u00e9gse is t\u00e1mogatn\u00e1 az eur\u00f3\u00f6vezeti csatlakoz\u00e1st,<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>a magyar gazdas\u00e1g az elm\u00falt \u00e9vekben messzebb ker\u00fclt a maastrichti krit\u00e9riumok teljes\u00edt\u00e9s\u00e9t\u0151l, nem pedig k\u00f6zelebb azokhoz, \u00edgy ezen \u00edg\u00e9ret betart\u00e1sa nem kis neh\u00e9zs\u00e9get is okozhat Magyar P\u00e9ter\u00e9k sz\u00e1m\u00e1ra<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>\u2013 \u00edrja a GKI Gazdas\u00e1gkutat\u00f3 a Forbes.hu-hoz eljuttatott elemz\u00e9s\u00e9ben.<\/p>\n<div class=\"related-post-links\">\n<p>\t\t<span class=\"related-post-links__title minititle\">T\u00f6bb ebb\u0151l<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"related-post-links__link-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/forbes.hu\/penz\/mit-kezd-magyar-peter-a-meszaros-fele-autopalya-koncesszioval\/\" class=\"related-post-links__link\">Mit kezd Magyar P\u00e9ter a M\u00e9sz\u00e1ros-f\u00e9le aut\u00f3p\u00e1lya-koncesszi\u00f3val?<\/a>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n<div class=\"related-post-links__link-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/forbes.hu\/penz\/balogh-petya-tisza-startup\/\" class=\"related-post-links__link\">Balogh Petya k\u00e9r\u00e9ssel fordult a Tisza-korm\u00e1nyhoz: \u00edgy lehetne j\u00f3 startup-\u00f6kosziszt\u00e9m\u00e1t \u00e9p\u00edteni Magyarorsz\u00e1gon<\/a>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><strong>Mi\u00e9rt fontos ez? <\/strong>A GKI eml\u00e9keztet, a csatlakoz\u00e1shoz \u00f6t f\u0151 krit\u00e9riumnak kell megfelelni, amelyek a k\u00f6vetkez\u0151k:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u00c1rstabilit\u00e1s: az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3s r\u00e1ta nem haladhatja meg 1,5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kpontn\u00e1l t\u00f6bbel a h\u00e1rom legjobb teljes\u00edtm\u00e9nyt ny\u00fajt\u00f3 tag\u00e1llam \u00e1tlag\u00e1t. <\/li>\n<li>\u00c1llamh\u00e1ztart\u00e1si hi\u00e1ny: a k\u00f6lts\u00e9gvet\u00e9si hi\u00e1ny nem lehet t\u00f6bb a GDP 3%-\u00e1n\u00e1l. <\/li>\n<li>\u00c1llamad\u00f3ss\u00e1g\/GDP ar\u00e1ny: f\u0151szab\u00e1ly szerint k\u00f6zel\u00edtenie kell a GDP 60%-\u00e1hoz (ha azt meghaladja). <\/li>\n<li>Hossz\u00fa t\u00e1v\u00fa kamatl\u00e1bak: a hossz\u00fa t\u00e1v\u00fa hitelek kamata legfeljebb 2 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kponttal lehet magasabb a h\u00e1rom legalacsonyabb infl\u00e1ci\u00f3val rendelkez\u0151 tagorsz\u00e1g \u00e1tlagos hitel kamat\u00e1n\u00e1l. Ezt a mutat\u00f3t az EKB a hossz\u00fat\u00e1v\u00fa (10 \u00e9ves vagy azt megk\u00f6zel\u00edt\u0151) \u00e1llampap\u00edrok \u00e9ves hozam\u00e1val k\u00f6zel\u00edti. <\/li>\n<li>\u00c1rfolyam-stabilit\u00e1s: legal\u00e1bb k\u00e9t \u00e9vet kell elt\u00f6lteni az ERM II. rendszerben, amely egy fix \u00e9rt\u00e9ken r\u00f6gz\u00edti a forint-eur\u00f3 \u00e1rfolyamot, amelyt\u0151l csak +\/- 15%-kal t\u00e9rhet el az \u00e1rfolyam.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>A magyar gazdas\u00e1g azonban ezen krit\u00e9riumok t\u00falnyom\u00f3 t\u00f6bbs\u00e9g\u00e9nek nem felelt meg az elm\u00falt \u00e9vekben: <\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>a 2025-\u00f6s infl\u00e1ci\u00f3 4,4% volt, messze a 2,6%-os referencia\u00e9rt\u00e9kt\u0151l, <\/li>\n<li>a hossz\u00fa kamatl\u00e1bak 6,9%-on \u00e1lltak tavaly itthon, szemben a 4,8%-os referencia\u00e9rt\u00e9kkel, <\/li>\n<li>a GDP ar\u00e1nyos \u00e1llamh\u00e1ztart\u00e1si hi\u00e1ny az el\u0151zetes adatok alapj\u00e1n 4,7% volt 2025-ben, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.hu\/hirek\/hiany-marcius-ngm\/\">id\u00e9n pedig ak\u00e1r a 6%-ot is el\u00e9rheti<\/a>, nagys\u00e1grendekkel a 3%-os c\u00e9l felett,<\/li>\n<li>a brutt\u00f3 \u00e1llamad\u00f3ss\u00e1g\/GDP \u00e9rt\u00e9ke pedig 2025-ben 74,6% k\u00f6r\u00fcl alakult tavaly, magasabban, mint a 2024-es 73,5%, \u00e9s messze a 60%-os c\u00e9l felett.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Mit jelent ez a gyakorlatban? <\/strong>Az eur\u00f3 bevezet\u00e9se kifejezetten kedvez\u0151 hat\u00e1s\u00fa lenne a hitelad\u00f3soknak, \u00e9s cs\u00f6kkenten\u00e9 a tranzakci\u00f3s k\u00f6lts\u00e9geket, \u00e1ll az elemz\u00e9sben. Az \u00e1llamh\u00e1ztart\u00e1s m\u00e9rs\u00e9kl\u0151d\u0151 kamatkiad\u00e1sai lehet\u0151s\u00e9get teremten\u00e9nek a szoci\u00e1lis programok b\u0151v\u00edt\u00e9s\u00e9re an\u00e9lk\u00fcl, hogy ez a k\u00f6lts\u00e9gvet\u00e9si hi\u00e1ny n\u00f6veked\u00e9s\u00e9vel vagy a GDP-ar\u00e1nyos \u00e1llamad\u00f3ss\u00e1g roml\u00e1s\u00e1val j\u00e1rna.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Kontextus. <\/strong>Ugyanakkor az \u00f3vatoss\u00e1g is indokolt a GKI szerint, mivel az \u00f6n\u00e1ll\u00f3 monet\u00e1ris politika felad\u00e1sa magasabb infl\u00e1ci\u00f3hoz, illetve re\u00e1lgazdas\u00e1gi \u00e9s p\u00e9nz\u00fcgyi egyens\u00falytalans\u00e1gokhoz vezethet, <a href=\"https:\/\/forbes.hu\/penz\/magyar-gazdasag-strategia-valasztas-ipar-koltsegvetes\/\">amely kock\u00e1zatokat a konzisztens gazdas\u00e1gpolitika tudna kezelni.\u00a0<\/a><\/p>\n<p><!-- No email blocks found --><\/p>\n<p>The post <a href=\"https:\/\/forbes.hu\/penz\/euro-magyarorszagon-gki\/\">Fejt\u00f6r\u00e9s Magyar P\u00e9ter sz\u00e1m\u00e1ra: c\u00e9l is, v\u00e1gy is a magyar eur\u00f3, de a gazdas\u00e1g csak messzebb ker\u00fclt t\u0151le az elm\u00falt \u00e9vekben<\/a> appeared first on <a href=\"https:\/\/forbes.hu\/\">Forbes.hu<\/a>.<\/p><div id=\"friss-2811669176\" class=\"friss-etarget-cikk-vege friss-entity-placement\"><script type=\"text\/javascript\" id=\"etargetScript7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b\">function etargetPostloadFunction7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b(){var e=\"etargetPostload7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b\",t=\"etargetScript7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b\",o=document.getElementById(e);if(o){for(var n=o.offsetTop,d=o.offsetLeft,r=o.offsetWidth,a=o.offsetHeight;o.offsetParent;)o=o.offsetParent,n+=o.offsetTop,d+=o.offsetLeft;var i=(n<=window.pageYOffset+window.innerHeight&&d<window.pageXOffset+window.innerWidth&&n+a>window.pageYOffset&&d+r>window.pageXOffset);if(i&&etargetAllowOtherCheck){allowed=!1;var c=document.createElement(\"script\");return 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id=\"friss-842492636\" class=\"friss-after-content_3 friss-entity-placement\">https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=Pdnw4KiUWp0<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A magyarok t\u00f6bbs\u00e9ge v\u00e1gyik az eur\u00f3 bevezet\u00e9s\u00e9re, de az ehhez sz\u00fcks\u00e9ges krit\u00e9riumokt\u00f3l az elm\u00falt \u00e9vekben csak messzebb ker\u00fclt a magyar gazdas\u00e1g. Mi t\u00f6rt\u00e9nt? Ugyan a Tisza P\u00e1rt programj\u00e1nak r\u00e9sz\u00e9t k\u00e9pezi az eur\u00f3 2030-ig val\u00f3 bevezet\u00e9se, \u00e9s a t\u00e1rsadalom t\u00falnyom\u00f3 t\u00f6bbs\u00e9gse is t\u00e1mogatn\u00e1 az eur\u00f3\u00f6vezeti csatlakoz\u00e1st, a magyar gazdas\u00e1g az elm\u00falt \u00e9vekben messzebb ker\u00fclt a maastrichti [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-165531","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uzlet"],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/165531","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=165531"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/165531\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=165531"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=165531"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=165531"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}