{"id":173754,"date":"2026-11-03T08:39:04","date_gmt":"2026-11-03T08:39:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/balaton-egy-atlagos-csapadeku-tel-nem-elegendo-a-nyari-veszteseg-potlasara\/friss-hirek\/"},"modified":"2026-11-03T08:39:04","modified_gmt":"2026-11-03T08:39:04","slug":"balaton-egy-atlagos-csapadeku-tel-nem-elegendo-a-nyari-veszteseg-potlasara","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/balaton-egy-atlagos-csapadeku-tel-nem-elegendo-a-nyari-veszteseg-potlasara\/videk\/","title":{"rendered":"Balaton: egy \u00e1tlagos csapad\u00e9k\u00fa t\u00e9l nem elegend\u0151 a ny\u00e1ri vesztes\u00e9g p\u00f3tl\u00e1s\u00e1ra"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A Balaton v\u00edzgy\u0171jt\u0151 ter\u00fclet\u00e9nek \u00e9ves v\u00edzegyenlege a hossz\u00fa t\u00e1v\u00fa trendek alapj\u00e1n t\u00f6bbletb\u0151l hi\u00e1nyba fordult, a felborult \u00e9vszakos egyens\u00faly miatt pedig egy \u00e1tlagos csapad\u00e9k\u00fa t\u00e9l m\u00e1r nem k\u00e9pes p\u00f3tolni a ny\u00e1ri v\u00edzhi\u00e1nyt \u2013 der\u00fcl ki Szab\u00f3 P\u00e9ter meteorol\u00f3gus legfrissebb elemz\u00e9s\u00e9b\u0151l, amely a <a href=\"https:\/\/masfelfok.hu\/2026\/11\/03\/a-balaton-vizegyenlegevel-baj-van-a-nyari-csokkenest-az-atlagos-teli-novekedes-sem-ellensulyozza-mar\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">M\u00e1sf\u00e9lfok \u2013 \u00c9ghajlatv\u00e1ltoz\u00e1s k\u00f6z\u00e9rthet\u0151en<\/a> c\u00edm\u0171 szakport\u00e1lon jelent meg.<\/p><div id=\"friss-4191031872\" class=\"friss-etarget friss-entity-placement\"><script type=\"text\/javascript\" id=\"etargetScript7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b\">function etargetPostloadFunction7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b(){var e=\"etargetPostload7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b\",t=\"etargetScript7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b\",o=document.getElementById(e);if(o){for(var n=o.offsetTop,d=o.offsetLeft,r=o.offsetWidth,a=o.offsetHeight;o.offsetParent;)o=o.offsetParent,n+=o.offsetTop,d+=o.offsetLeft;var i=(n<=window.pageYOffset+window.innerHeight&&d<window.pageXOffset+window.innerWidth&&n+a>window.pageYOffset&&d+r>window.pageXOffset);if(i&&etargetAllowOtherCheck){allowed=!1;var c=document.createElement(\"script\");return c.src=\"\/\/hu.search.etargetnet.com\/generic\/uni.php?g=ref:58661,area:700x210\",void(document.getElementById(t)&&document.getElementById(e)&&(document.getElementById(t).parentNode.appendChild(c),document.getElementById(t).parentNode.removeChild(document.getElementById(t)),document.getElementById(e).parentNode.removeChild(document.getElementById(e)),document.removeEventListener(\"scroll\",etargetPostloadFunction7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b),document.removeEventListener(\"resize\",etargetPostloadFunction7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b),document.removeEventListener(\"DOMContentLoaded\",etargetPostloadFunction7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b)))}}}var etargetDivID=\"etargetPostload7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b\",etargetScriptID=\"etargetScript7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b\",etargetPostloadPoint=document.createElement(\"div\");etargetPostloadPoint.id=etargetDivID;var etargetCurScript=document.getElementById(etargetScriptID);etargetCurScript.parentNode.appendChild(etargetPostloadPoint),document.addEventListener(\"scroll\",etargetPostloadFunction7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b),document.addEventListener(\"resize\",etargetPostloadFunction7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b),document.addEventListener(\"DOMContentLoaded\",etargetPostloadFunction7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b);var etargetAllowOtherCheck=!0;if(typeof(\"forceRunPostload\")==\"string\"){etargetPostloadFunction7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b()}<\/script><\/div>\n<p>A kutat\u00e1s r\u00e1mutat, hogy okt\u00f3ber elej\u00e9n mind\u00f6ssze 29 centim\u00e9tert mutatott a Balaton v\u00edzm\u00e9rc\u00e9je, ami alig haladja meg a 2003 okt\u00f3ber\u00e9ben m\u00e9rt 23 centim\u00e9teres rekordalacsony szintet. B\u00e1r egy sek\u00e9ly t\u00f3n\u00e1l a v\u00edzszint ingadoz\u00e1sa term\u00e9szetes jelens\u00e9g, a jelenlegi alacsony v\u00edz\u00e1ll\u00e1s m\u00e1r melegebb \u00e9ghajlat \u00e9s a fokozott p\u00e1rolg\u00e1si ig\u00e9ny mellett jelentkezik.<\/p>\n<p>A meleged\u00e9s k\u00f6vetkezt\u00e9ben pedig a v\u00edzh\u00e1ztart\u00e1s m\u00e9g enyh\u00e9n n\u00f6vekv\u0151 \u00e9ves csapad\u00e9kmennyis\u00e9g mellett is sz\u00e1razabb\u00e1 v\u00e1lhat.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"_ce_measure_widget\" data-ce-measure-widget=\"Id\u00e9zet\">\n<p>A Balaton v\u00edzszintj\u00e9t nem kiz\u00e1r\u00f3lag a t\u00f3ra hull\u00f3 csapad\u00e9k \u00e9s a t\u00f3 p\u00e1rolg\u00e1sa alak\u00edtja. Meghat\u00e1roz\u00f3 az is, mennyi v\u00edz \u00e9rkezik a k\u00f6rnyez\u0151 v\u00edzgy\u0171jt\u0151 ter\u00fcletr\u0151l, ahonnan a csapad\u00e9k egy r\u00e9sze a t\u00f3 fel\u00e9 jut<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>\u2013 \u00edrja Szab\u00f3 P\u00e9ter, az ELTE Meteorol\u00f3giai Tansz\u00e9k doktorandusza.<\/p>\n<p>A meteorol\u00f3gus ennek a ter\u00fcletnek a v\u00edzell\u00e1totts\u00e1g\u00e1t vizsg\u00e1lta egy olyan modellel, amely havi szinten k\u00f6veti a csapad\u00e9k \u00e9s a p\u00e1rolg\u00e1s viszony\u00e1t, majd az eredm\u00e9nyeket a t\u00f3 m\u00e9rt v\u00edz\u00e1ll\u00e1s\u00e1val vetette \u00f6ssze. A vizsg\u00e1lat eredm\u00e9nyei szerint az elm\u00falt h\u00fasz \u00e9v adatai alapj\u00e1n igen er\u0151s, 0,83 k\u00f6r\u00fcli korrel\u00e1ci\u00f3 mutathat\u00f3 ki a v\u00edzgy\u0171jt\u0151 v\u00edzegyenlege \u00e9s a Balaton okt\u00f3beri v\u00edz\u00e1ll\u00e1sa k\u00f6z\u00f6tt. A 2000-t\u0151l vizsg\u00e1lt 26 \u00e9vb\u0151l 16-ban a v\u00edzgy\u0171jt\u0151 \u00e9ves egyenlege negat\u00edv volt.<\/p>\n<p>Szab\u00f3 P\u00e9ter szerint ez azt igazolja, hogy a jelenlegi helyzet nem egyetlen sz\u00e1raz ny\u00e1r, hanem egym\u00e1st k\u00f6vet\u0151 \u00e9vek sor\u00e1n felhalmoz\u00f3dott v\u00edzhi\u00e1ny eredm\u00e9nye. A legfontosabb v\u00e1ltoz\u00e1s az \u00e9vszakok k\u00f6z\u00f6tti egyens\u00faly felborul\u00e1sa. Kor\u00e1bban a ny\u00e1ri v\u00edzhi\u00e1nyt \u00e1tlagosan nagyj\u00e1b\u00f3l ellens\u00falyozta a t\u00e9len keletkez\u0151 v\u00edzt\u00f6bblet.<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"highlight-block-small _ce_measure_widget\" data-ce-measure-widget=\"Kiemel\u00e9s - hossz\u00fa sz\u00f6veghez\">Horv\u00e1th Nikoletta 2026 nyar\u00e1n k\u00e9sz\u00edtett elszomor\u00edt\u00f3 fot\u00f3kat a sz\u00e1razs\u00e1g s\u00fajtotta Balatonr\u00f3l<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a class=\"m-nextGallery _ce_measure_widget _ce_measure_link\" href=\"https:\/\/sokszinuvidek.24.hu\/viragzo-videkunk\/2026\/11\/03\/balaton-vizhiany-szarazsag\/?gallery=1\/1\/d8spccr9.jpg\" data-ce-measure-widget=\"gallery-open\"><\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"m-nextGallery__featureImageCnt\">\n\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2048\" height=\"1536\" src=\"https:\/\/s.24.hu\/app\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2026\/10\/d8spccr9.jpg\" class=\"m-nextGallery__featureImage wp-image-382935\" alt=\"\" \/>\t<\/div>\n<div class=\"m-nextGallery__thumbnailCnt\">\n<div class=\"m-nextGallery__thumbnail\">\n<div class=\"m-nextGallery__thumbnailAspectRatio\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2048\" height=\"1536\" src=\"https:\/\/s.24.hu\/app\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2026\/10\/ammumgkp.jpg\" class=\"m-nextGallery__thumbnailImage wp-image-382932\" alt=\"\" \/><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"m-nextGallery__thumbnail\">\n<div class=\"m-nextGallery__thumbnailAspectRatio\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2048\" height=\"1536\" src=\"https:\/\/s.24.hu\/app\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2026\/10\/b0qo4bmt.jpg\" class=\"m-nextGallery__thumbnailImage wp-image-382933\" alt=\"\" \/><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"m-nextGallery__thumbnail\">\n<div class=\"m-nextGallery__thumbnailAspectRatio\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"2048\" height=\"1536\" src=\"https:\/\/s.24.hu\/app\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2026\/10\/ewsnmfvf.jpg\" class=\"m-nextGallery__thumbnailImage wp-image-382938\" alt=\"\" \/><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"m-nextGallery__thumbnail -last\">\n<div class=\"m-nextGallery__thumbnailAspectRatio\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"2048\" height=\"1536\" src=\"https:\/\/s.24.hu\/app\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2026\/10\/nr0czhjd.jpg\" class=\"m-nextGallery__thumbnailImage wp-image-382946\" alt=\"\" \/><\/div>\n<div class=\"m-nextGallery__summary\">\n\t\t\t\t<span class=\"m-nextGallery__summaryIcon\">\n<p>\t\t\t\t<\/p><\/span><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t<span class=\"m-nextGallery__summaryText\"><b>40<\/b> fot\u00f3<\/span>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>A tanulm\u00e1ny szerint az elm\u00falt b\u0151 \u00f6tven \u00e9vben a Balaton v\u00edzgy\u0171jt\u0151j\u00e9n a t\u00e9li v\u00edzt\u00f6bblet csak m\u00e9rs\u00e9kelten n\u00f6vekedett, mik\u00f6zben a ny\u00e1ri v\u00edzhi\u00e1ny t\u00f6bb mint a k\u00e9tszeres\u00e9re emelkedett. Ennek k\u00f6vetkezt\u00e9ben a v\u00edzgy\u0171jt\u0151 \u00e9ves v\u00edzegyenlege a hossz\u00fa t\u00e1v\u00fa trend alapj\u00e1n t\u00f6bbletb\u0151l hi\u00e1nyba fordult.<\/p>\n<p>Mint a cikkben olvashat\u00f3, hasonl\u00f3 \u00e9ghajlati nyom\u00e1s \u00e9ri a Velencei-tavat is, amely m\u00e9g sek\u00e9lyebb, \u00e9s v\u00edzszintje term\u00e9szetes m\u00f3don is er\u0151sen ingadozik. T\u00f6rt\u00e9nete sor\u00e1n t\u00f6bbsz\u00f6r teljesen kisz\u00e1radt, utolj\u00e1ra 1866-ban. A t\u00f3 ny\u00e1ri v\u00edzh\u0151m\u00e9rs\u00e9klete 1971 \u00f3ta t\u00f6bb mint 4 Celsius-fokkal emelkedett, gyorsabban, mint a k\u00f6rnyez\u0151 leveg\u0151.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"_ce_measure_widget\" data-ce-measure-widget=\"Id\u00e9zet\">\n<p>A folyamat \u00f6nmag\u00e1t er\u0151s\u00edtheti: a h\u0151s\u00e9g \u00e9s a p\u00e1rolg\u00e1s cs\u00f6kkenti a v\u00edzmennyis\u00e9get, a megmarad\u00f3 kisebb v\u00edzt\u00f6meg pedig m\u00e9g k\u00f6nnyebben felmelegszik, k\u00f6zben a helyi turizmus \u00e9s infrastrukt\u00fara a viszonylag \u00e1lland\u00f3 v\u00edz\u00e1ll\u00e1sra \u00e9p\u00fclt<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>\u2013 \u00e1ll az elemz\u00e9sben.<\/p>\n<p>Az elemz\u00e9s hangs\u00falyozza: az eredm\u00e9nyek nem t\u00e1masztj\u00e1k al\u00e1 a t\u00f3 m\u00e1sf\u00e9l \u00e9vtizeden bel\u00fcli kisz\u00e1rad\u00e1s\u00e1r\u00f3l sz\u00f3l\u00f3 v\u00edzi\u00f3kat, a Balaton elt\u0171n\u00e9s\u00e9t\u0151l bel\u00e1that\u00f3 id\u0151n bel\u00fcl nem kell tartani. Ugyanakkor a sz\u00e1raz 2025-\u00f6s \u00e9v ut\u00e1n elmaradt a megfelel\u0151 t\u00e9li felt\u00f6lt\u0151d\u00e9s, majd 2026 nyar\u00e1n ism\u00e9t jelent\u0151s v\u00edzhi\u00e1ny alakult ki, a t\u00f6bb egym\u00e1st k\u00f6vet\u0151 sz\u00e1raz \u00e9v hat\u00e1sa pedig \u00f6sszead\u00f3dik.<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"highlight-block-small _ce_measure_widget\" data-ce-measure-widget=\"Kiemel\u00e9s - hossz\u00fa sz\u00f6veghez\"> A Balatoni Limnol\u00f3giai Kutat\u00f3int\u00e9zet modellez\u00e9se szerint 2040-t\u0151l a t\u00f6bb\u00e9ves asz\u00e1lyok idej\u00e9n m\u00e1r k\u00fcls\u0151, mesters\u00e9ges v\u00edzp\u00f3tl\u00e1sra lesz sz\u00fcks\u00e9g.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>A szak\u00e9rt\u0151 szerint a b\u0151s\u00e9ges csapad\u00e9k\u00fa t\u00e9li id\u0151szakokban a lehet\u0151 legt\u00f6bb vizet kellene meg\u0151rizni a Balatonban \u00e9s annak v\u00edzgy\u0171jt\u0151j\u00e9n, mivel az \u00e1talakult \u00e9vszakos egyens\u00faly miatt egy \u00e1tlagos csapad\u00e9k\u00fa t\u00e9l m\u00e1r nem elegend\u0151 a ny\u00e1ri vesztes\u00e9g p\u00f3tl\u00e1s\u00e1ra. (MTI)<\/p>\n<p>Kor\u00e1bban egy szak\u00e9rt\u0151 elmondta, <a href=\"https:\/\/sokszinuvidek.24.hu\/viragzo-videkunk\/2026\/10\/12\/balaton-vizszint-aszaly-eso-szarazsag\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">mi\u00e9rt emelkedik nehezen a Balaton v\u00edzszintje<\/a> a nagy es\u0151 ellen\u00e9re. Mint meg\u00edrtuk, ny\u00e1ron <a href=\"https:\/\/sokszinuvidek.24.hu\/viragzo-videkunk\/2026\/10\/14\/balatonfoldvar-paradicsom-balaton-tomeder\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">paradicsom is termett<\/a> a Balaton kisz\u00e1radt medr\u00e9ben.<\/p>\n<div class=\"o-post__articRecommend m-articRecommend -hasImg cf article-recommendation-container cf _ce_measure_widget\" data-ce-measure-widget=\"Cikkaj\u00e1nl\u00f3 widget\">\n<div class=\"m-articRecommend__widgetTitle\">Kapcsol\u00f3d\u00f3<\/div>\n<div class=\"m-articRecommend__imgWrap image-container\"><a href=\"https:\/\/sokszinuvidek.24.hu\/egyeb\/2026\/10\/01\/balaton-vizszintje-tortenelmi-melypont-kozeleben\/\" target=\"_self\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"480\" height=\"270\" src=\"https:\/\/s.24.hu\/app\/uploads\/sites\/11\/2026\/09\/koni-e1790758288691-480x270.jpg\" class=\"img-responsive wp-post-image\" alt=\"\" \/><\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"m-articRecommend__cntWrap content-container \">\n\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/sokszinuvidek.24.hu\/egyeb\/2026\/10\/01\/balaton-vizszintje-tortenelmi-melypont-kozeleben\/\" target=\"_self\" class=\"m-articRecommend__title ar-title\">238 milli\u00f3 k\u00f6bm\u00e9ter v\u00edz hi\u00e1nyzik a Balatonb\u00f3l<\/a>\n<div class=\"m-articRecommend__lead ar-lead\">Csapad\u00e9kra \u00e1tsz\u00e1molva 400 millim\u00e9terre, vagyis ennyi es\u0151re lenne sz\u00fcks\u00e9g a t\u00f3 teljes felsz\u00edn\u00e9n ahhoz, hogy ekkora v\u00edzmennyis\u00e9g visszaker\u00fclj\u00f6n a t\u00f3ba.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>The post <a href=\"https:\/\/sokszinuvidek.24.hu\/viragzo-videkunk\/2026\/11\/03\/balaton-vizhiany-szarazsag\/\">Balaton: egy \u00e1tlagos csapad\u00e9k\u00fa t\u00e9l nem elegend\u0151 a ny\u00e1ri vesztes\u00e9g p\u00f3tl\u00e1s\u00e1ra<\/a> first appeared on <a href=\"https:\/\/sokszinuvidek.24.hu\/\">Soksz\u00edn\u0171 vid\u00e9k<\/a>.<\/p><div id=\"friss-878417216\" class=\"friss-etarget-cikk-vege friss-entity-placement\"><script 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