{"id":173759,"date":"2026-11-03T09:39:37","date_gmt":"2026-11-03T09:39:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/a-vartnal-is-nagyobb-pofonba-szaladhat-bele-trump-partja-ezekben-az-allamokban-dolhet-el-a-valasztas\/friss-hirek\/"},"modified":"2026-11-03T09:39:37","modified_gmt":"2026-11-03T09:39:37","slug":"a-vartnal-is-nagyobb-pofonba-szaladhat-bele-trump-partja-ezekben-az-allamokban-dolhet-el-a-valasztas","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/a-vartnal-is-nagyobb-pofonba-szaladhat-bele-trump-partja-ezekben-az-allamokban-dolhet-el-a-valasztas\/uzlet\/","title":{"rendered":"A v\u00e1rtn\u00e1l is nagyobb pofonba szaladhat bele Trump p\u00e1rtja, ezekben az \u00e1llamokban d\u0151lhet el a v\u00e1laszt\u00e1s"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Ak\u00e1r mindk\u00e9t kongresszusi h\u00e1zban elvesz\u00edthetik t\u00f6bbs\u00e9g\u00fcket a republik\u00e1nusok a keddi amerikai f\u00e9lid\u0151s v\u00e1laszt\u00e1son. A k\u00f6zv\u00e9lem\u00e9ny-kutat\u00e1sok szerint Donald Trump p\u00e1rtja a kor\u00e1bban biztosnak tartott konzervat\u00edv \u00e1llamokban is bajba ker\u00fclhet, a demokrat\u00e1k pedig t\u00f6rt\u00e9nelmi gy\u0151zelmet arathatnak.<\/strong><\/p><div id=\"friss-1907480372\" class=\"friss-etarget friss-entity-placement\"><script type=\"text\/javascript\" id=\"etargetScript7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b\">function etargetPostloadFunction7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b(){var e=\"etargetPostload7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b\",t=\"etargetScript7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b\",o=document.getElementById(e);if(o){for(var n=o.offsetTop,d=o.offsetLeft,r=o.offsetWidth,a=o.offsetHeight;o.offsetParent;)o=o.offsetParent,n+=o.offsetTop,d+=o.offsetLeft;var i=(n<=window.pageYOffset+window.innerHeight&&d<window.pageXOffset+window.innerWidth&&n+a>window.pageYOffset&&d+r>window.pageXOffset);if(i&&etargetAllowOtherCheck){allowed=!1;var c=document.createElement(\"script\");return c.src=\"\/\/hu.search.etargetnet.com\/generic\/uni.php?g=ref:58661,area:700x210\",void(document.getElementById(t)&&document.getElementById(e)&&(document.getElementById(t).parentNode.appendChild(c),document.getElementById(t).parentNode.removeChild(document.getElementById(t)),document.getElementById(e).parentNode.removeChild(document.getElementById(e)),document.removeEventListener(\"scroll\",etargetPostloadFunction7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b),document.removeEventListener(\"resize\",etargetPostloadFunction7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b),document.removeEventListener(\"DOMContentLoaded\",etargetPostloadFunction7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b)))}}}var etargetDivID=\"etargetPostload7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b\",etargetScriptID=\"etargetScript7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b\",etargetPostloadPoint=document.createElement(\"div\");etargetPostloadPoint.id=etargetDivID;var etargetCurScript=document.getElementById(etargetScriptID);etargetCurScript.parentNode.appendChild(etargetPostloadPoint),document.addEventListener(\"scroll\",etargetPostloadFunction7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b),document.addEventListener(\"resize\",etargetPostloadFunction7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b),document.addEventListener(\"DOMContentLoaded\",etargetPostloadFunction7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b);var etargetAllowOtherCheck=!0;if(typeof(\"forceRunPostload\")==\"string\"){etargetPostloadFunction7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b()}<\/script><\/div>\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\" \/>\n<div class=\"related-post-links\">\n<p>\t\t<span class=\"related-post-links__title minititle\">Tov\u00e1bbiak ebb\u0151l<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"related-post-links__link-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.hu\/penz\/energiavalsag-befektetes-koolaj-foldgaz-ellatas-energia-europa-magyarorszag\/\" class=\"related-post-links__link\">Pletser Tam\u00e1s: Paks II. komoly fejt\u00f6r\u00e9st okozhat a korm\u00e1nynak, 3\u20134-szer annyit kellene k\u00f6lteni a magyar energiarendszerre, mint az elm\u00falt t\u00edz \u00e9vben<\/a>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n<div class=\"related-post-links__link-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.hu\/hirek\/felidos-valasztas-usa-amerika-trump-iran-demokrata-republikanus\/\" class=\"related-post-links__link\">Belharc a demokrata t\u00e1borban, \u00fajabb csap\u00e1sok a K\u00f6zel-Keleten \u2013 fesz\u00fclt hangulatban kezd\u0151dik az amerikai f\u00e9lid\u0151s v\u00e1laszt\u00e1s<\/a>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><strong>Mi t\u00f6rt\u00e9nt?<\/strong> A v\u00e1rtn\u00e1l is s\u00falyosabb veres\u00e9get szenvedhetnek a republik\u00e1nusok a november 3-i amerikai f\u00e9lid\u0151s v\u00e1laszt\u00e1sokon \u2013 err\u0151l a <a href=\"https:\/\/telex.hu\/kulfold\/2026\/11\/03\/amerikai-felidos-valasztasok-kongresszus-tet-trump-nepszerutlen-demokratak-republikanusok-kepviselohaz-szenatus\">Telex<\/a> \u00edrt az amerikai k\u00f6zv\u00e9lem\u00e9nykutat\u00f3k adatai alapj\u00e1n.<\/p>\n<p>Mik\u00f6zben a k\u00e9pvisel\u0151h\u00e1z elveszt\u00e9s\u00e9t m\u00e1r kor\u00e1bban is val\u00f3sz\u00edn\u0171nek tartott\u00e1k, a legfrissebb el\u0151rejelz\u00e9sek szerint a demokrat\u00e1k a szen\u00e1tusban is \u00e1tvehetik az ir\u00e1ny\u00edt\u00e1st.<\/p>\n<p>Az amerikai v\u00e1laszt\u00e1sok egyik legmegb\u00edzhat\u00f3bb el\u0151rejelz\u0151j\u00e9nek sz\u00e1m\u00edt\u00f3 adatguru, Nate Silver FLIPR modellje 96,4 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos es\u00e9lyt ad a demokrat\u00e1k k\u00e9pvisel\u0151h\u00e1zi gy\u0151zelm\u00e9re, a szen\u00e1tus megszerz\u00e9s\u00e9nek val\u00f3sz\u00edn\u0171s\u00e9g\u00e9t pedig 81,5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kra becs\u00fcli.<\/p>\n<p>A republik\u00e1nusok helyzet\u00e9t Donald Trump alacsony n\u00e9pszer\u0171s\u00e9ge, az ir\u00e1ni h\u00e1bor\u00fa \u00e9s a v\u00e1mint\u00e9zked\u00e9sek gazdas\u00e1gi k\u00f6vetkezm\u00e9nyei nehez\u00edtik.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Melyik \u00e1llamokra \u00e9rdemes figyelni?<\/strong> A szen\u00e1tusi t\u00f6bbs\u00e9g sorsa t\u00f6bb kulcsfontoss\u00e1g\u00fa \u00e1llamban d\u0151lhet el. K\u00fcl\u00f6n\u00f6sen Texas, Kansas \u00e9s Alaszka lehet \u00e9rdekes, ahol a hagyom\u00e1nyosan republik\u00e1nus f\u00f6l\u00e9ny ellen\u00e9re a demokrata jel\u00f6ltek vezetnek a felm\u00e9r\u00e9sekben.<\/p>\n<p>Maine, Michigan, Iowa \u00e9s Ohio szint\u00e9n fontos csataterek, m\u00edg \u00c9szak-Karolin\u00e1ban \u00e9s Georgi\u00e1ban a demokrat\u00e1k sz\u00e1m\u00edtanak egy\u00e9rtelm\u0171 es\u00e9lyesnek. Texasban James Talarico, Kansasban Adam Hamilton, Alaszk\u00e1ban pedig Mary Peltola gy\u0151zelme jelentene k\u00fcl\u00f6n\u00f6sen \u00e9rz\u00e9keny csap\u00e1st a republik\u00e1nusoknak.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Hogyan tov\u00e1bb?<\/strong> Ha a demokrat\u00e1k mindk\u00e9t kongresszusi h\u00e1zban t\u00f6bbs\u00e9get szereznek, Donald Trump jelent\u0151s politikai akad\u00e1lyokkal szembes\u00fclhet eln\u00f6ks\u00e9ge h\u00e1tral\u00e9v\u0151 k\u00e9t \u00e9v\u00e9ben. A demokrat\u00e1k blokkolhatj\u00e1k t\u00f6rv\u00e9nyhoz\u00e1si kezdem\u00e9nyez\u00e9seit, akad\u00e1lyozhatj\u00e1k b\u00edr\u00f3i kinevez\u00e9seit, \u00e9s vizsg\u00e1latokat ind\u00edthatnak korm\u00e1nyzat\u00e1nak \u00fcgyeiben.<\/p>\n<p>Az el\u0151rejelz\u00e9seket ugyanakkor \u00f3vatosan kell kezelni. A k\u00f6zv\u00e9lem\u00e9ny-kutat\u00e1sok torz\u00edt\u00e1sai miatt a t\u00e9nyleges demokrata el\u0151ret\u00f6r\u00e9s kisebb is lehet a v\u00e1rtn\u00e1l.<\/p>\n<p><!-- No email blocks found --><\/p>\n<p>The post <a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.hu\/hirek\/trump-kongresszus-felidos-valasztas-usa-amerika\/\">A v\u00e1rtn\u00e1l is nagyobb pofonba szaladhat bele Trump p\u00e1rtja, ezekben az \u00e1llamokban d\u0151lhet el a v\u00e1laszt\u00e1s<\/a> appeared first on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.hu\/\">Forbes.hu<\/a>.<\/p><div id=\"friss-3381427644\" class=\"friss-etarget-cikk-vege friss-entity-placement\"><script type=\"text\/javascript\" id=\"etargetScript7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b\">function etargetPostloadFunction7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b(){var e=\"etargetPostload7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b\",t=\"etargetScript7a9b589f63cb072bef80df221f46a22b\",o=document.getElementById(e);if(o){for(var 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id=\"friss-2514340822\" class=\"friss-after-content_3 friss-entity-placement\">https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=Pdnw4KiUWp0<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ak\u00e1r mindk\u00e9t kongresszusi h\u00e1zban elvesz\u00edthetik t\u00f6bbs\u00e9g\u00fcket a republik\u00e1nusok a keddi amerikai f\u00e9lid\u0151s v\u00e1laszt\u00e1son. A k\u00f6zv\u00e9lem\u00e9ny-kutat\u00e1sok szerint Donald Trump p\u00e1rtja a kor\u00e1bban biztosnak tartott konzervat\u00edv \u00e1llamokban is bajba ker\u00fclhet, a demokrat\u00e1k pedig t\u00f6rt\u00e9nelmi gy\u0151zelmet arathatnak. Tov\u00e1bbiak ebb\u0151l Pletser Tam\u00e1s: Paks II. komoly fejt\u00f6r\u00e9st okozhat a korm\u00e1nynak, 3\u20134-szer annyit kellene k\u00f6lteni a magyar energiarendszerre, mint az elm\u00falt [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-173759","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uzlet"],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/173759","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=173759"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/173759\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=173759"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=173759"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/friss-hirek.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=173759"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}